January 20

What Policy Landmines did Biden leave Trump?

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What Policy Landmines did Biden leave Trump?

We are here! President Trump and his new administration are getting ready to roll, but what Policy landmines did Biden and his administration leave? Is it like a mountain of debt mixed in with some of Biden’s dogs remains after a walk? Or are there some surprise regulations and geopolitical issues about to hit the global stage?

Highlights of the Podcast

00:10 – Introduction

04:25 – Energy Policy Changes Under Trump

08:14 – Biden’s 30 by 30 Initiative

12:00 – Global Perspective

14:21 – Trump’s National Emergency Declaration

18:30 – Energy Infrastructure Needs

19:23 – The Jones Act and LNG

21:23 – National Energy Emergency Obstacles

25:31 – Grid Security Issues

28:21 – Subsidy Challenges

34:00 – Trump’s Offshore Wind Pause

38:57 – DOE Loan Office Defies Inspector General, Gives $7.2B In Loan Guarantees To Rivian & Plug Power

41:59 – Terence Corcoran: Get Ready Canada for ‘Justin Carney

47:37 – ExxonMobil and Chevron Megadeals Are Cleared of FTC Antitrust Concerns

48:56 – Republican-led states sue Biden administration over offshore drilling ban

50:32 – US clean energy tax subsidies to cost $825 billion over 10 years, CBO says

51:24 – U.S. oil sanctions squeeze tightening markets even further

53:34 – US approves 2.4GW offshore wind project before Trump inauguration

Irina Slav
International Author writing about energy, mining, and geopolitical issues. Bulgaria
David Blackmon
Principal at DB Energy Advisors, energy author, and podcast host.Principal at DB Energy Advisors, energy author, and podcast host.
Tammy Nemeth
Energy Consulting Specialist
Stuart Turley
President, and CEO, Sandstone Group, Podcast Host

What Policy Landmines did Biden leave Trump?

David Blackmon [00:00:10] Hey, welcome everybody, to the Energy Realities Podcast January 20th, 2025, The Year of Our Lord 2025. Donald Trump will be sworn in as America’s 47th president at noon today Eastern Time, which is, I believe, 5 p.m. in the UK and 6 p.m. in Bulgaria. Correct?

Irina Slav [00:00:38] Seven 7:00pm.

David Blackmon [00:00:40] 7p.m.. Okay. Your to do. Okay. Yeah. In Texas it’s 11 a.m. and I am on pins and needles. Personally, I’m like the mayor of Giddy ville, as I like to describe.

Stuart Turley [00:00:54] I think I have you on David if you don’t mind me showing this. Not sure.

David Blackmon [00:01:07] Come on. Don’t freeze up.

Stuart Turley [00:01:11] No, I was turning it down, so we don’t. Okay, so here we go. There’s something for you.

David Blackmon [00:01:22] It’s pretty cool. So, okay, I’m going to calm down now. I’m losing my control. And it’s my week. The host, of course, because that’s how it happens on the Energy reality podcast. But we thank everyone for joining us. With me today, of course, is Mr. Stewart Turley, who I believe is in Oklahoma and his hideout up there.

Stuart Turley [00:01:45] Yep.

David Blackmon [00:01:46] And the Fords of Oklahoma. How are you today?

Stuart Turley [00:01:50] Cold. It was like one degrees with wind chill. And the water in the house is a problem. So fortunately, that’s what you have for houses when you go to the other ones.

David Blackmon [00:02:05] Also with us today from Bulgaria. Irina Slav. How are you?

Irina Slav [00:02:11] I’m great, David. Thank you. Spring is coming.

David Blackmon [00:02:14] Spring is is is it freezing cold in Bulgaria, too?

Irina Slav [00:02:17] No, no, not where I am. I’m in southern Bulgaria, so it’s really lovely and sunny.

David Blackmon [00:02:23] Well, I’m jealous. I’m so jealous. There’s ice on the ground up here in North.

Irina Slav [00:02:29] It’s.

David Blackmon [00:02:31] And Dr. Tammy Nemeth. And you’re in the UK today, aren’t you?

Tammy Nemeth [00:02:36] Yes, I am. Where it’s cold and experiencing. Don’t go

David Blackmon [00:02:42] Oh boy.

Tammy Nemeth [00:02:44] Will be in trouble again today.

David Blackmon [00:02:46] So. So what is the workhorse on the UK grid when the flouts natural gas.

Tammy Nemeth [00:02:53] Natural gas and hydro and the last bit of nuclear that they have?

David Blackmon [00:02:59] Yeah. Same thing in Texas. I looked out at the Ercot site this morning and natural gas was generating about 64% of our total load on the grid. We got the Ercot grid is in good shape for this freeze event. We’re not going to have major blackouts. And natural gas, of course, is keeping the homes heated and the lights on. So today’s topic, now that we’re six minutes in, what policy landmines did Biden leave for Trump related to energy? And there’s a good number of them. We’ve seen big news stories here recently about drilling bans and some of the other things that Biden has done that. Try to make it difficult for for Donald Trump to get hit the ground running as he has to do today with 200 executive orders, at least a couple of dozen of which I’m told are going to relate to energy policy. So I’m going to start. Today’s discussion by with me to give us the perspective of what’s happening in America with with our transition of power. Given what’s been happening since the Labor Party took over the government in the UK and is taking the UK in exactly the opposite direction.

Tammy Nemeth [00:04:25] Well, that’s a big one. I mean, it’s interesting that the that the UK is doubling down on the net zero transition and throwing energy reality out the window. And I think a lot of what happens in the UK and in Europe was predicated on the idea that America would join the net zero transition. And it has over the past four years with Biden. And now that’s all about to come to a crashing end with Donald Trump. And there’s this sort of realignment and reorganization and reconsideration to some extent of where countries go from here. Because if America doesn’t do it and it has cheaper energy, that and lower taxes and all of these different things that enable companies to build and produce things, then it creates a really competitive issue with respect to industrial capacity in Europe and the UK, which has been in decline obviously from the decarbonization efforts and has resulted in deindustrialization. And so there was a big fear, even with the Inflation Reduction Act, that the Biden administration had brought in, that companies were trying to take advantage of the subsidies and whatnot and move their production to America. And I think we’ll see an acceleration of this during the Trump administration if he’s able to actually undo some of the policy landmines. And I’d like to draw attention to something Alex Epstein put forward put out this morning on his substack, which is what he calls the Energy Freedom Plan. And in the thoroughness that Alex does, he goes through he has outlined five goals, 24 objectives and 112 specific actions that the new administration can do in order to sort of navigate through some of these landmines or obstacles that the Biden administration has put forward. And I think one of one of the the things that Alex is really good at doing is he goes through all of the different departments and agencies that have been given various powers over different energy policy issues. So you’ve got the EPA, you’ve got that’s the Environmental Protection Agency. You’ve got the Bureau of Land Management and and other groups and organizations and agencies. But but these two in particular have done was really limit what development oil and gas development can take place with respect to pipelines, with drilling, with building refineries, building LNG facilities and so on. And so this is, you know, his recommendations to to alter the situation. One of the interesting things I’m not sure if he if he talks about it because I haven’t had a chance to go through this in any great detail, is that one of the things the Biden administration did, which is in alignment with the EU and Canada and the other net zero jurisdictions, was to bring in the 30 by 30 initiative. And I want to highlight this because I think it’s important. It was the commitment to set aside or conserve 30% of America’s lands and 30% of its waters from development, period. Canada has done the same thing. The EU has done the same thing. And it looks like Trump is going to rescind that right away. So that’ll be interesting because that sets the the tone for all of this other stuff. So. Yeah. I highly recommend people looking at that.

Stuart Turley [00:08:14] Let me ask this, because we have all the banks that are bailing out of the net zero. So once you have the financial institutions bailing out of net zero, that is going to impact the availability of donation money to the politicians. Did I just say that? And so

David Blackmon [00:08:38] it depends on whether or not they’re actually going to take action in that regard or they’re just doing this to as a public relations kind of thing. Right.

Tammy Nemeth [00:08:46] And to avoid antitrust investigation, which was coming out of the House Judiciary Committee that I mentioned last week with those two reports that they did these interim reports calling it a cartel. And so in order to minimize the possibility of being investigated under antitrust, they remove themselves from defense and the net zero banking alliance and the net zero Financial Alliance Asset Managers Alliance in order to basically deflect that potential for antitrust. But all of those banks and BlackRock have said this isn’t going to affect our net zero policies. So, okay, what does that mean then?

Stuart Turley [00:09:27] Exactly.

Irina Slav [00:09:28] Yeah.

David Blackmon [00:09:28] Well, you know,.

[00:09:30] European banks going the same way. Sorry, David.

David Blackmon [00:09:33] Yeah. No.

Irina Slav [00:09:33] And European banks do not have to worry about being investigated for antitrust behavior. To me, this was the most important news that European banks have the full support of their governments to double down on net zero. And yet they’re not. If the American and the Canadian banks bailing out the European banks are following. Now, why might that be? Well, I mean, on net zero, that’s why.

David Blackmon [00:10:06] Exactly.

Tammy Nemeth [00:10:07] Yeah.

David Blackmon [00:10:09] Go ahead, Tammy.

Tammy Nemeth [00:10:09] They don’t need to they don’t need to be part of the of the the group anymore because they have those policies embedded within their operations is what what I would argue.

Irina Slav [00:10:21] Yeah. But most of them are still funding oil and gas except the nutcases that well they’re not so Nazi really because they only say they want some new projects. They keep funding already existing. Why is that? Because it brings in money.

Tammy Nemeth [00:10:40] Yeah.

Irina Slav [00:10:41] Yeah. progmatic versus cynical. They’re not. They don’t find the ideology. And now with Trump, they have even less incentive to participate either in groups or in any, you know, push for more wind turbines and solar panels. They have no incentive, not with those negative electricity prices. They will be losing money. That’s what it really comes down to. And it’s run some of them have an additional reason we don’t want to be prosecuted. Why should we do it if American personnel do it, doing it, they have an excuse.

Tammy Nemeth [00:11:25] Except the banks in Europe and the investment organizations still have to abide by the the Climate Reporting directive from the European Union. So through E frag. And then they have their green taxonomy. They have to have their transition plan. They have to be following these targets. Otherwise they’ll be litigated into oblivion for not following those transition.

Irina Slav [00:11:48] I would love to see what happens there. Yeah, exactly. That’s hitting them financially because it will if it’s not already.

Tammy Nemeth [00:11:56] Yeah, I agree. It’ll time will tell. Right.

Irina Slav [00:12:00] And it won’t be long. I think not the

David Blackmon [00:12:05] Irina How is, how is the American transition being viewed in Bulgaria? I think it’s it’s so great. We have these, you know, perspectives from from to to countries in Europe, from Canada and even from Oklahoma on this show. So it’s all these foreign countries and problems.

Stuart Turley [00:12:25] Oklahoma is the third world country, David.

David Blackmon [00:12:28] Yeah.

Irina Slav [00:12:30] Yeah. And he’s most of Western Europe, but who cares? I don’t actually. That’s all cool to, to, to people outside of my immediate friends circle friends and family circle. But I think people here view America mostly as a country with its own energy production, which makes you independent and secure with regard to energy supply. In fact, we have an American company operating one of the biggest thermal power plants here and.

David Blackmon [00:13:08] Natural gas.

Irina Slav [00:13:10] Yeah.

David Blackmon [00:13:10] Is it coal?

Irina Slav [00:13:12] Co? Yeah. I think they have some transition plan in order because, you know, a few governments ago they had this wonderful idea to shut the coal plants down and turn them into solar installations with batteries. I don’t know what the impact of the news about the biggest battery installation burning to the ground in California would have on these plans. But I do hope a U.S. will defend its plans or just sell it to someone who will continue operating it. But yeah, we. We. Envy you guys because you have your own energy. And I think a lot of ongoings are happy about Trump becoming president because he will hopefully reverse as much of Biden’s destructive energy policies as is reasonably possible. How much of these policies are actually reversed? I think that’s the most important question right now.

David Blackmon [00:14:21] Yeah. Well, so one of the things President Trump is going to do this afternoon to sign an order declaring a national energy emergency and a formal national emergency declaration. And I haven’t seen the exact wording of this orders, but if it is a former formal declaration of a natural national emergency and not just rhetoric, then that will give him some enhanced powers to reverse what he believes are orders that are destructive to the national security and regulations and legislated and even items that were in the IRA that he believes he can make a case for being destructive to the National. You’re it. So a lot’s going to depend on that order. If that order is a formal national emergency declaration, then then he’s going to be able to do a lot more by executive action. And I’m not really sure personally how I feel about that because I think we already have too much power invested in the executive branch of our government. But that’s mainly because Congress has basically surrendered its authority to legislate for the most part. Yeah. So when you do have a situation like this where we’ve had these last four years of misallocation, of trillions of dollars in taxpayer money and a buildup of $8 trillion in national debt in just four years, you know, I I’m kind of on the fence about whether or not that’s the right action to take, because if a Republican does it, then what’s to prevent the next Democrat who takes office from declaring their own national emergency and doing all sorts of damaging things again? But that’s one thing he’s going to do just in the normal course of business. Of course he can. He can completely reverse every energy related executive order Biden issued over the last four years, and he plans to do that. There will be litigation over some of those because the the resistance on the far left of our political spectrum now exists to do lawfare. And that’s what’s basically become their basically their entire playbook at this point because they have no political power at the moment. And so they’re going to we’re just going to see an explosion of lawfare campaigns organized by some of these left wing law for ordination with environmental groups like the Sierra Club and Center for Biological Diversity.

Stuart Turley [00:17:06] There’s a lawsuit that was just filed, David, with by the Republicans against the oil ban. And so there’s going to be more and more of those kind of things going on. And and Tammy and and Irina, when when we hear President Trump say drill, baby, drill, I’ve been saying that it is not drill, baby, drill anymore. President Trump is not going to be able to just flat out and say drill more. It does not work that way anymore. It is going.

Irina Slav [00:17:37] To them drill more.

Stuart Turley [00:17:39] No. It’s going to be drill, baby and fiscally responsible.

David Blackmon [00:17:45] It’s not going to be a big drilling boom. There will be some out in the Gulf of Mexico and you might see a little pick up in the onshore rig count. But I mean, we’re we’re increasing overall production dramatically with with just the few rigs we have running. There’s no reason for a big drilling boom to take place. What needs to take place is an infrastructure related to energy in this country. We need a lot of new natural gas pipelines. You know, we’re going to need to build more LNG export terminals because demand globally is exploding for LNG from the United States. Cutter One of the things that we’re exporting country. So one of the things.

Stuart Turley [00:18:30] One of the things to watch for today, David, in that emergency declaration is if there is a way for him to have put in there and I’ve sent notes, everybody that I possibly could, a wartime exemption for the Jones Act, because then you can then I hate the Jones Act, the Jones Act. I was only there to support 200 union jobs and it is crippled the United States. Let’s take away Hawaii is 60% of its power. Are you ready for this one? Heating oil generation? I mean, 60% is the most horrible thing on the planet. Why don’t you put in the LNG to electric plant there and then ship in our own cheap LNG? Now,

David Blackmon [00:19:23] what are you talking about? The New England states. The New England, right.

Stuart Turley [00:19:27] And then we don’t want them in Hawaii. Now now, with New England, with the biggest import facility in the Boston area is from Trinidad Tobago. Why are we not selling our own? This is just bad. Sorry.

David Blackmon [00:19:45] Yeah, I don’t expect Trump to get real bogged down in the Jones Act. Other than other than this is going to have to to do an exemption from the Jones Act for ship building. Yes, because our military is our Navy is been decimated by the Biden administration and by Congress’s refusal to appropriate the money needed to build more ships. And we have almost no shipbuilding capability left in America. And that’s in large part because of some provisions in the Jones Act. And because of a lot of other factors. So he’s probably going to suspend the Jones Act related to shipbuilding and and try to get that business back going. But, you know, it’s it’s such a quagmire in terms of having to have us. Man ships in US flag vessels move move goods from port to port. In the United States it’s ridiculous lol. But. It just becomes this this nightmare of litigation when you’re trying to really do anything about it.

Stuart Turley [00:20:52] I want to shout out to all of the people viewing on LinkedIn X and YouTube. It looks like on my X channel it is 725 people sitting there looking at it.

Tammy Nemeth [00:21:05] Whoa.

David Blackmon [00:21:07] That’s pretty awesome.

Tammy Nemeth [00:21:09] That’s amazing. Thank you so much for for attending everybody. This is so great. But I’m wondering if we could maybe go back to what are some of these obstacles? Because even

David Blackmon [00:21:19] on the actual topic of the discussion. Go ahead.

Tammy Nemeth [00:21:23] Because he even if like he he puts forward a national energy emergency, which would be something similar, I think, to what the Democrats were trying to convince Biden to sign a climate emergency declaration. So even if he does this, this emergency act, I think there’s a lot of different elements that aren’t so easily undone and create these kind of obstacles. So, David, what do you think is are some of the obstacles there?

David Blackmon [00:21:55] Well, one the biggest one he’s done in the transition was the the setting aside 625 million acres of the offshore from future drilling and leasing. And he did it under the provisions of the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act of 1953, which does give presidential authority to set aside lands. It was when you read the law, it’s clearly intended for times of national emergency and more time for four presidents to do this exclusively for those kinds of needs. But, you know, it’s been used for set asides like this previously. It’s never been fully tested in the courts. There’s one lower court decision ruling in favor of a president’s authority to do this. And I think the Trump administration, unfortunately, after Trump reverses that order, they’re going to get sued and they’re going to have to test it all the way up to the Supreme Court, where it would be, you know, the Supreme Court’s going to rule that any any set aside like that under the LCA so they can be reversed by future presidents. Obvious that was the intent of the law. So but it’s going to take several years to get to that point. And that’s why Biden did that order. Everyone needs to understand a lot of the things Biden did in the closing days of this administration was designed to encourage these lawfare campaigns from the far left over the next four years. And he was setting a predicate for a big lawsuit over that provision of the. Okay. So he by making that order and that’s what’s probably going to happen, I think it’s pretty certain. So then you’re going to have, you know, they did all these efficiency standards in the Energy Department on gas stoves and gas appliances. Again, Trump is going to reverse those with an executive order today. And he should because they’re stupid and they’re counterproductive. And he’s probably going to do the same thing on Power Transformers, which already function at 99.3% efficiency. How much more efficient do you need to get with any piece of equipment? The 99.3%. Folks,

Stuart Turley [00:24:16] I’m I’m all I’m hoping that he does get in the first Trump administration he had an executive order that removed all equipment from China with a specific list of equipment from the U.S. grid and telecoms. After that, Biden put all that equipment back in. What happened over the Biden administration with these landmines? We had a balloon come over the first balloon that came over connected to the Internet and then the second balloon that came over. Guess what? We had the national security website go down. We had AT&T go down, we had LinkedIn go down, we had go down. We had all these things go down after the Chinese balloon connected to it. So how much of the U.S. grid could be taken now? The Wall Street Journal put out there that there was at least 32 of these major interconnects put back into the grid by the Biden, and that was on The Wall Street Journal. If that happened, let’s say 10% of the grid goes down permanently. That is a lot of problems in the United States.

David Blackmon [00:25:31] So it would be end up with a lot of people dying. Yes. Think about what would happen if 10% of the grid went down today with the whole country in a major freeze of them, it would be catastrophic. So, you know, I mean, that’s it’s just that there’s just so many things. I mean, I wrote a story that story in The Daily Caller that students are going to talk about later. We import 80% of our enriched uranium into this country. From where? From Russia and China,.

Tammy Nemeth [00:26:04] From Russia.

David Blackmon [00:26:05] From Russia and China.

Tammy Nemeth [00:26:08] It’s a Hillary Clinton deal.

Stuart Turley [00:26:10] Yes, it was. It was about bad joke. Tammy, thank you.

David Blackmon [00:26:16] And it’s all it’s just all to enrich these these elites like the Clintons, like the Bidens, like the Obamas, like like Bill Gates and all their billionaire buddies. The biggest irony I saw over the last week was Biden’s farewell address when he warned the country about an oligarchy of billionaires coming to rule the country. What do you say to all these energy policies? Who do you think they’re designed to benefit? At the end of the day, a bunch of billionaires like Bill Gates. Okay, folks, I mean.

David Blackmon [00:26:53] and it’s just bizarro world that we’ve been living in and hopefully at least on one outcome, regardless of what else happens. Of the new presidency will be that we get out of this bizarro fantasy world we’ve been living in where energy policy is concerned. And I went to the living in a room. Go ahead.

Tammy Nemeth [00:27:16] From your perspective, do you see obstacles here? You know, because we’ve been talking about different things with respect to wind and and the development issues and whatnot. Do you see other obstacles that maybe North Americans are missing?

Irina Slav [00:27:36] Do you think I would know? When you hear about the the whole, you know, judicial process that makes it possible to repeal certain law and replace it with another. But I have been reading that it might be tough to, you know, to to change some of the damage already done through subsidies. What I found most interesting and perhaps particularly challenging is that a lot of these subsidies are going to Republican run states and they wouldn’t want to part with the money. So Trump would have to offer them something comparable. So

David Blackmon [00:28:21] that’s great.

Irina Slav [00:28:22] You know,

Tammy Nemeth [00:28:24] that’s a good point.

Irina Slav [00:28:26] And I think that the thing to offer would be the existence of cheap energy, even without massive subsidies. You know, there’s abundant, cheap energy. Manufacture what you want. Not necessarily EVs, because let’s remember that the subsidies are very specifically targeted. You don’t get subsidies for anything. You get them for batteries and EVs and solar panels and whatever. So this this I see is a challenge that will be tough to deal with.

David Blackmon [00:29:06] Yet it will be because of all that since March 10th in statute in the I.R.A.. So it remains to be seen how what, if any, of that they’ll be able to actually permanently reverse.

Irina Slav [00:29:19] So they really have managed to to cement a lot of the IRA stipulations before they were kicked out.

David Blackmon [00:29:26] Yeah. Yeah. In Congress, you know, with such small majorities in Congress is going to be real hard to do a bill to actually repeal that.

Tammy Nemeth [00:29:35] But yeah.

David Blackmon [00:29:38] I do not imagine being in cell blue states fire trucks.

Tammy Nemeth [00:29:44] That’s cool.

David Blackmon [00:29:46] Thank you. Patrick. That’s the comment for today.

Irina Slav [00:29:47] No, I think he’s referring to let Jan pass. It was not near LA. It was in another

David Blackmon [00:29:55] And it’s about 20 miles north of San Francisco.

Irina Slav [00:30:00] Yeah. Yeah. It was close to San Francisco. But Patrick had another question. He wondered if the EU countries have an option to say we don’t want to do it. Well, yeah, they can leave the European Union. And what they have been doing is in Europe is basically. Finding excuses because these are binding targets and net zero and decarbonization, they’re binding targets. But the only punishment that the EU, EU can exact on us is financial. If you’re not making progress, we just won’t give you money for the transition. So that has been a lot of hands where you bet we can. We need more time, We need more money. We need more time. We need more money. I don’t think we can keep doing this for a very long time. What can they do to kick us out?

David Blackmon [00:30:58] Right.

Irina Slav [00:31:01] I would love to be kicked out of the European Union, but they won’t go that far. They need each and every member state to begin. A scary.

Tammy Nemeth [00:31:13] Yeah.

David Blackmon [00:31:14] Stu. Can we go back to that comment about Johanna? Rural America is Republican, and that’s where the wind turbines and solar are. We don’t want them. And now they’re finding that they don’t bring us as much benefit as far as economic increases. Yeah. And so that’s all true. Absolutely. And as you know, Robert Bryce has done a great job of chronicling how a lot of those communities are now pushing back and opposing the installation of these big wind farms because we’re fighting here. One of the reasons, as we find out that these wind farms get built just to take advantage of the subsidies and the tax credits, and they mean for years they just sit there without being hooked into the power grid. And some of them are not ever going to be hooked into the power.

Stuart Turley [00:32:03] We even had one, David in Oklahoma with A Tribe and Doug Sandridge and Robert Bryce wrote about this, that they’re having to pull out the entire wind farm of 80 wind turbines because they misrepresented the mining and lied about it. So it was not what they got from us. So hats off to the tribe for standing in front of.

David Blackmon [00:32:34] Tribe, wouldn’t it?

Stuart Turley [00:32:36] I believe so. But I had a podcast. I have to double check that. Dan Sandridge and Robert Bryce both wrote about it. It’s pretty, pretty impressive story.

David Blackmon [00:32:47] Yeah. One last thing on wind and then we’ll go to the newspaper or the news headlines.

David Blackmon [00:32:57] Something. Is the newspaper anymore. But is Godwin one of the orders President Trump is going to issue today is going to invoke a pause on progress of the offshore wind projects in the Northeast Atlantic. And I wonder what people think about this, because we all protested when Biden canceled Keystone XL. A what was then a $12 billion project, which would cost 20 billion now by the stroke of a pen and complained about that, you know, kind of harming the ability for companies to predict how the laws are going to be applied in the United States. I wonder what the opinion of our panelists is on Trump essentially doing what Biden did last year with the LNG pause and causing the entire offshore wind industry with the stroke of a pen and a start with a. We’ll start with you on that.

Stuart Turley [00:34:00] I’ve got mixed emotions, but I just heard a whale. A whale as well. Yeah. It’s such a total devastation and a farce that I’m in agreement with it now. The Keystone pipeline was different from the standpoint that we need Canadian oil sands heavy oil for our refineries. As it comes down, it needs to be blended into our pipeline mix for our refineries. I would love this is a trading thing with Canada that is needed. This is different than banning offshore subsidizing of a an energy project that is proven to be a wealth transfer rather than a good project. So I’ve got mixed emotions because the next president that comes in can do the same thing again. And who wants to have this? China has an advantage over us. They look at a 100 year cycle. Saudi Arabia has a 100 year cycle. They have a they do a great job with management of their sovereign wealth fund. If you take a look at OPEC, OPEC is actually doing a pretty good job trying to manage the oil pricing on those kind of things. When you take a look at American Squirrel. I mean, we have no idea. Give us 15 minutes. We’re going to have some serious rules.

David Blackmon [00:35:32] Irina

Irina Slav [00:35:34] Well, I’m not a fan of offshore wind or any wind, really. So I think it’s a good thing what Trump is going to do. But you’re right that he’s using the absolutely same arsenal that Biden used to impose lengthy approvals. So. I don’t know. Sometimes this weapon is being used for good and sometimes it’s being used for evil. And I think Trump is using it for good because think of all the lives marine mammal lives and bird lives. This is going to say he is actually being environmentalist.

David Blackmon [00:36:15] But there you go. Hey, I like that, Tammy.

Tammy Nemeth [00:36:18] Excellent point. I agree with both Stu and Irina. A big surprise that, you know.

Irina Slav [00:36:26] So boring.

Tammy Nemeth [00:36:28] Well, you know, there’s there’s ambivalence there because it is a heavy hand to use this kind of authority. And, yes, it smacks something of hypocrisy where you can be really angry about how it was used incorrectly. And because you you don’t agree with what it was being used for. And now we support it because it will save wildlife and whatnot. And I agree with Stu in the sense that the oil produces lots of other products. It’s not just oil. It’s not just, you know, when you have electricity, it’s just electricity. And I agree with Irene that the wind project was not a good project. It you know, it destabilizes the grid. It doesn’t in that security. It makes energy more expensive. And so why would you want to support something that is going to do all these things that undermines not just your energy security, but your national security, and it undermines the the real environment, not what a lot of the the people were arguing about Keystone Excel. So the the other sort of ambivalence I have is with respect to states rights. So when it comes to trying to promote infrastructure development because it’s necessary to stabilize the grid and to make sure that we do have a secure supply of oil and natural gas and and other things that are important for national and energy security. The states do have rights in in that sphere. But when it comes to offshore, you know, that’s that’s a bit of of a federal jurisdiction. And the same thing with Keystone when it when it’s building pipelines and the pipelines are going across different boundaries. Then, of course, the the federal government has a role in that. So, yeah, on the one hand, it’s it’s not good to have to use that power. But on the other hand, sometimes you need to and if it’s going to enhance national security and energy security, then perhaps that’s a good use of it.

David Blackmon [00:38:37] You know what? I think you all summarized everything I was going to say. So I don’t want to save time and not try to add anything to that. I agree with everybody. Let’s go to the headlines with Tammy, your first.

Tammy Nemeth [00:38:50] Okay. So the first story is about the DOE .. The Department of Energy Loan Office defies the inspector general, which told them to stop handing out these loans because of questionable potential for conflict of interest and to stop handing out loans between mid-December and January 20th. Well, the Doe loan office did it anyway, and they gave 7.2 billion in loan guarantees to Rivian, which is in financial trouble. And a company called Plug and Plug Power. And if you read the the letter, which almost is like a cease and desist, but not quite, there is significant evidence to to suggest that there’s a big conflict of interest in handing out these loans. The person handing out the loans looks to have connections with the companies. And, you know, and so they said stop handing out the loans, but they did it anyway. And this is the sort of issue I have over the past four years. And when Democrats are in power, when Democrats are in power, the courts tell them to do something and they ignore it. And there’s never seemingly any consequences. So what’s the consequence for this loan office to hand out loans when they were told by the inspector general not to? What’s what’s the consequence there? Will anybody go to jail or do they face a fine. Like what’s going to happen? Or are they just going to go to those companies, get their share of the loans that have been dispersed? I don’t know. But, you know, when you see the the amount of money in the billions that have been handed out to companies of questionable financial health, and one of the things that the that that the inspector general said, and I’ll quote it here said. These projects are inherently risky because they may have struggled to secure funding from traditional sources such as commercial banks and private equity investors. Well, no kidding. So if if they can’t secure funding from the normal places, maybe it’s because they don’t have a good business model. Or maybe there’s something wrong with the stuff that they’re doing. And should that should the taxpayers be on the hook to help out companies that aren’t good enough to secure private equity financing? So that’s that was really I thought was an important story. And then the second one is away from America and to Canada, where Justin Trudeau had resigned. The Liberal Party is looking for a new leader. And now we have Mark Carney, who’s thrown his hat in the ring where he did his soft launch with Jon Stewart. So apparently America doesn’t matter except to launch your Liberal Party leadership course. You know, and so Terence Corcoran in the Financial Post has written an excellent article called Get Ready Canada for Justin Carney, because Mark Carney has been the advisor, the economic advisor to Justin Trudeau since Covid some 2020. Carney was hired for $1 a year or as a volunteer or whatever it is to advise on build back better. Which how did that turn out? He’s been on the record saying how we need carbon pricing around the world. He was the architect of defense and all of these different things. He’s pushed the network for greening the financial system, which through the central banks, he was the architect of that one. So what does do people think he’s any different now that he’s saying, well, maybe carbon pricing, the way we’ve done it hasn’t been had the best outcome. So we can Reconsider

Irina Slav [00:42:46] really.

Tammy Nemeth [00:42:47] Right. So what does that mean? Well, they’re going to put it on all the companies who will have to flow it down to the consumers, but the consumers won’t see it as a direct charge from the government. Okay. And and then the other thing, if I could just finish here with Carney is that he and Janet Yellen wrote a report back in 2020, 2021, where they talked about, you know what, all this climate stuff and carbon pricing has become too politicized. What we need is an appointed carbon council who will make decisions rather than the politicians because the politicians are too shortsighted. So we’ll have these appointed carbon councils with lengthy terms so that they can make these decisions instead of the politicians and look at the longer term. That’s who he is. And if if Canadians are going to vote for somebody like that, then there will be in big trouble.

David Blackmon [00:43:46] Before we move on isn’t this is exactly what the Democrats did at the 1st of August. Mark Carney is Kamala Harris. Justin Trudeau is Joe Biden. It’s exactly the same tactic, you know, and you’re probably going to see this happen a lot more in some other countries as well, maybe even in Brazil in next year’s presidential contest.

Tammy Nemeth [00:44:08] Good Point, yeah.

David Blackmon [00:44:12] That’s all. One more. Go ahead Stu.

Tammy Nemeth [00:44:16] No. So this is just my substack.

David Blackmon [00:44:19] Sorry. Yes.

Tammy Nemeth [00:44:20] We’re. I had an article last week about.

Irina Slav [00:44:28] Woops.

David Blackmon [00:44:30] Did she just freeze up?

Irina Slav [00:44:31] Yeah. Yeah, she froze.

David Blackmon [00:44:35] Tammy you’re frozen.

Irina Slav [00:44:37] Stu, are you frozen or are you just being very still?

David Blackmon [00:44:41] Stu’s frozen, too. Just you and me are in. And I can’t advance the slides.

Irina Slav [00:44:48] So why don’t you tell me about your headlines?

David Blackmon [00:44:52] Yeah. I don’t remember what they were.

Irina Slav [00:44:58] Let me see what is going on.

David Blackmon [00:45:02] This is wild. Anyway.

Irina Slav [00:45:05] Selective. Let me see if I can. I remember one of mine was about the cost of some Biden climate policies. And you’ll be amazed when I tell you all the news was there were going to cost a lot more than initially expected.

David Blackmon [00:45:29] Yes. Yeah, exactly. It’s all costing a lot more than expected.

Irina Slav [00:45:34] Yeah. This keeps happening, and it looks like nobody’s paying attention.

David Blackmon [00:45:40] Yeah. I mean, the R rate, total subsidies and the R. Both says it’s going to be well over a true three times 300% innovation.

Irina Slav [00:45:55] Hey, what happened?

Stuart Turley [00:45:57] No idea. Anyway, we’re showing back, and it looks like we’re still alive.

David Blackmon [00:46:05] And let’s go to our Irina’s headlines. So. Still, we lost a figure.

Stuart Turley [00:46:14] Am I here?

David Blackmon [00:46:16] Yeah. You’re here now? Yeah.

Stuart Turley [00:46:17] Okay. Let me get the slides back up. Sorry about that, guys. That’s a holy smokes, Batman. Just take me a second. And we’re off and running. We’ve. We had a lot of folks in 1300 on my X channel, so bear with me while I get us restarted.

Irina Slav [00:46:40] If I have a good comment, it will cost more and take much longer. This keeps happening. They keep moving the deadlines and the price tags.

David Blackmon [00:46:50] And one of the reason it’s costing more, too, is that, you know, these wind towers, turbines and blades come with 25 year advertised lifetime. But what the operators are doing is retiring them after seven years so that they can take advantage of the other round the more so. Right. Yeah. So that’s part of how they’re making these things profitable. Even when they’re not hooked into a power grid, they’re just sitting out there, turned and not generating anything.

Irina Slav [00:47:17] Yeah.

David Blackmon [00:47:18] Here we go. Looking here.

Stuart Turley [00:47:20] And we wanted to tell Tammy’s is the name is Substack. We wanted to make sure we advertise.

David Blackmon [00:47:27] That her substack folks. A great stuff.

Stuart Turley [00:47:31] Okay, there’s yours, David.

David Blackmon [00:47:33] Here’s me. Okay, So, well, just a couple of quick things. The ExxonMobil and Chevron big deals got FTC antitrust approval on Friday. And for ExxonMobil, this means its takeover of Pioneer Natural Resources is final. That deal is done. And and so they’re now the owner, officially a pioneer natural resources and by far the biggest producer in the Permian Basin for Chevron. And their take over $53 billion acquisition of Hess Corporation. It’s still not quite final because they’re involved in arbitration with Exxon Mobil over the Guyana Project Stabroek Block That Exxon Mobil is the operator of Exxon. It’s challenged Chevron’s takeover of Hess, which is a 25% minority owner in that project. So are 30%. And so that that is going to be resolved here sometime over the next few months. And it’s hard to know which way that one’s going to go. Exxon Mobil actually wrote the clause that they’re challenging that acquisition under when they entered into the consortium agreement with Pass and Sener. And they seem to be in a strong position. So that one still up in the air. The other one that I think is really important is a Republican led state sue Biden administration over offshore drilling. You know, this is the big 625 million acre offshore drilling ban Biden put into effect or ordered into effect a couple of weeks ago and that there’s going to be litigation over. But these Republican led states are in actuality, they’re all the coastal states that are majorly impacted negatively by Biden’s order, and they include Alaska, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, but not Texas and Georgia. But not Texas yet. I understand Texas will join that suit as well so that all the Gulf Coast states will be in it. And those states all have standing to challenge that. So that is the first litigation that’s been filed against that order. And once Trump reverses the order this afternoon, you’re going to see environmental groups champion to sue Trump and his attempt to reverse it. So there’ll be a lot of litigation over that one. And those are the two updates. I know

Irina Slav [00:50:03] you really are litigious culture and.

David Blackmon [00:50:06] We are. And it’s because we waste so much time and energy on that effort. And you can find me on substack at Energy Reality Absurdities Blackmon@substack. Com is the website address and everything I write anywhere ends up being reposted and linked there.

Irina Slav [00:50:30] yeah. Here’s the story I was talking about US clean energy tax subsidies to cost 825 billion over ten years.

David Blackmon [00:50:38] The subsidy alone. My God.

Irina Slav [00:50:40] Yeah. And originally that was supposed to cost less than I think it was less than 300 billion. But what’s new? You know, as Patrick says, it will cost more and take much longer. This keeps happening with the transition and nobody seems to pay attention, nobody at the top. I mean, yeah, it’s going to take us longer. Will need to double down and tightens and belt because it’s also going to be more expensive. No wonder people are starting to beat that up. And the the other headline I have is wonderful is from John Kenneth. That’s formerly with Reuters. Now he’s independent and I salute him for it. So you always talk U.S. oil sanctions squeeze tightening markets even further. Also now we have a tightening market. Until a week ago, it was all surplus. You know, there was enough oil in the world. I’m not directing this rant, John. No, not at all. Directing it to all these media outlets who keep pumping the same narrative day after day. China demand is weak. There’s too much supply. OPEC has the spare capacity. Even without this spare capacity, we’re going to be in surplus in 2025 as we were in 2024. Now, one man has come and said it’s a tightening market and prices are going to go higher.

Stuart Turley [00:52:13] Yeah.

Irina Slav [00:52:15] So yeah, that tide is turning as well and very happy to see it turn.

David Blackmon [00:52:21] It’s amazing how the narrative changes with president.

Irina Slav [00:52:26] Yeah, not just the president, but suddenly it becomes too obvious to ignore. Yeah. Yeah. You know, if the market was so well supplied, the latest sanction barrage wouldn’t have had any effect. It would have had a temporary effect on prices. But Brant is now, you know, above 80 a barrel. So, what, more than a week. And it could go even higher. I mean, freight rates, the tanker is double what they used to be before the sanctions. Yeah, that. That. That was my rant today. I feel vindicated.

David Blackmon [00:53:04] And a fine rant. It was.

Irina Slav [00:53:07] Thank you. And that’s my substack. I’m thinking of rebranding because this is so boring. Irina Slav on energy. But for now is Irina Slav on energy.

Stuart Turley [00:53:18] I like it.

David Blackmon [00:53:19] Problem with rebranding is then people have to find you again.

Irina Slav [00:53:23] Yeah, I agree. That’s why I’m reluctant.

Stuart Turley [00:53:26] We’ve already talked about the David the Republicans take off in the lawfare this morning. The U.S. approves 2.4GW offshore before the Trump inauguration. You cannot even get out of the cotton pick and Dover without approving another wind farm.

Irina Slav [00:53:51] And what’s the point if he’s going to ban it?

Stuart Turley [00:53:55] I don’t know. I just find it despicable. The Bureau of Ocean Management has given the final approval needed for the South Coast Wind Project, formerly known as the Mayflower Wind. Only days before the offshore slaying of the 47th president entered the White House. I don’t get it.

David Blackmon [00:54:17] The operator of that project’s, too.

Stuart Turley [00:54:22] It’s the South Coast Wind project. I mean, look in the article here.

David Blackmon [00:54:26] Well, I just wonder if it’s because Orsted has been a favorite company of this administration.

Irina Slav [00:54:33] I can’t wait to see how Orsted’s share price is faring tomorrow.

David Blackmon [00:54:38] Yeah. Yeah.

Stuart Turley [00:54:40] I have to hand it to the Trump administration because they have got just a rock star group of folks, and Lee Zeldin and Chris Wray and Doug Broom are the team to help try to reduce energy prices. And David, I got to give you a shout out for your cover in your article talking about her on the there are horrific processes that the Trump administration folks were going through. The Democrats just really embarrassed themselves. And I love your article on that. It was absolutely abysmal. You can find me on energy news beat dot co in my energy news beat Substack. And real quick. Dogs and cats are different. And I think this is going to be very important as we.

Stuart Turley [00:55:53] So the dog jumps up there to move the camera so he can eat the snacks that are up on the thing. And then the cat comes back and goes. Wait a minute. Hal, are you there?

David Blackmon [00:56:04] What’s this? Is this.

Irina Slav [00:56:08] The Biden administration and the cat is Trump.

David Blackmon [00:56:15] That’s perfect. That’s perfect.

Stuart Turley [00:56:18] I’d like to thank all the folks on LinkedIn, YouTube, and on my channel. I do appreciate it. Looks like I’ve got 1427 still alive on my X channel, buddy.

Irina Slav [00:56:31] Thank you all.

David Blackmon [00:56:31] And to thank everyone for joining us. I hope Tammy is okay. We still haven’t gotten her back and wonder what happened. And we are at time. It’s been exactly an hour. We had a wonderful discussion today, Irina, Stu, Tammy and all of you who chimed in with questions and comments. Really, really appreciate it makes your experience much more enjoyable. We will be back here again next week at the same time.

Irina Slav [00:57:01] As to be fun. Go watch the inauguration.

David Blackmon [00:57:05] Absolutely.

Irina Slav [00:57:06] Have a great day everyone.


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